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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.77+8.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.13+3.13vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+4.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.93+1.95vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63-1.13vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.18+2.26vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.38+0.65vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+2.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.91-3.16vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.79-3.75vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.57+2.25vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.88-2.80vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.70vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.63-7.40vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.23-2.42vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.82-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.13Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.74Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.95Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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3.87Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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5.84University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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13.25Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.2Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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12.58University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.91Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 12.7% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Clark Morris | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.2% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Anthony | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Henry Lee | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 31.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Greer Page | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 22.0% | 16.9% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 21.7% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.