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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.77+8.28vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+7.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.13+2.10vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.91+1.84vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering-0.82+8.81vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.23+6.47vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.63-0.25vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31-0.48vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-5.24vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.79-3.84vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.57+2.13vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.66-2.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.82vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.38-6.73vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.88-5.73vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.93-10.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.28Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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5.1Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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13.81Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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7.52Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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3.76Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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6.16Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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13.13Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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9.27Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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5.68Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Ethan Simpson | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 39.7% |
| Greer Page | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 21.1% | 17.5% |
| William Bailey | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.9% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 21.9% | 30.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Clark Morris | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.