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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+4.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.13+3.00vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.77+6.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.79+2.18vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.88+4.10vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.91-0.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.63-0.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+1.90vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31-1.44vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.66-0.11vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.38-3.61vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.82+1.75vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.23-0.56vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.57-0.78vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.63-11.22vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.0Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.18Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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7.56Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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9.89Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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13.75Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.22Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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3.78Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 13.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Alex Adams | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Henry Lee | 10.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 20.4% | 40.0% |
| Greer Page | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 18.4% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 21.9% | 28.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 21.7% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.