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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+4.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.38+5.32vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.13+2.06vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.88+5.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.91+0.76vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.63+0.71vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.63-3.13vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31-0.51vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.79-2.92vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.66-0.17vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.77-1.64vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-2.04vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-0.57+0.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-3.77vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.82-1.20vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.23-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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5.06Brown University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.21Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.87Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.49Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.83Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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13.21Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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13.8Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.54University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Simpson | 14.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Henry Lee | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 21.4% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alex Adams | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Liam Gronda | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Timothy Cronin | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 23.4% | 27.2% |
| Allison Nystrom | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Rohan Shah | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 21.1% | 40.7% |
| Greer Page | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.