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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles-0.25+9.54vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.48+3.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine0.27+6.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+5.03vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+3.53vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.43+2.56vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.42+1.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.13+5.06vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.90+3.47vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.43+1.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-7.95vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.44-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.66-5.26vs Predicted
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14University of Texas-0.86-1.60vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.38-11.74vs Predicted
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16California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-11.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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8.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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8.6California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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13.06University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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12.47Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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3.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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8.49Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Texas-0.860.0%1st Place
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3.26University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.64California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linnea Jackson | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Carter Anderson | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Max Case | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Maxwell Miller | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 32.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 23.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 27.7% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Will Cornell | 3.9% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Fenner | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 19.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 23.7% | 20.9% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.