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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.36+2.22vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+0.76vs Predicted
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3American University-0.13+0.79vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64-2.21vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.36-1.78vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-1.75-0.51vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.23-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.1%1st Place
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2.76Drexel University0.720.2%1st Place
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3.79American University-0.130.1%1st Place
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1.79Drexel University1.640.5%1st Place
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3.22Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.1%1st Place
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5.49Ocean County College-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.94Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Handel | 13.6% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 25.0% | 15.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 21.5% | 24.9% | 24.2% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Noel Klingler | 8.7% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 22.6% | 29.0% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 48.4% | 31.7% | 13.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Handel | 13.6% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 25.0% | 15.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily McCarthy | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 74.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 6.6% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 24.1% | 31.9% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.