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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48+2.35vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.90+8.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.27+4.17vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.07+2.90vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.25+2.70vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.44-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.59vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-2.36vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.43-3.38vs Predicted
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13University of Texas0.06-3.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.43-2.77vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.42-6.29vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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3.24University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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12.76Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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4.72California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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10.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.0%1st Place
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8.45Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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8.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Texas0.060.0%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.71California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 28.4% | 20.7% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 24.7% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 28.6% |
| Arin Bekem | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 11.7% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Linnea Jackson | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 7.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| George Soliman | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Max Case | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Maxwell Miller | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.