← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.38+2.14vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.98vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.48+2.20vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.07+5.61vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+3.19vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine0.27+2.88vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.43+1.40vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-3.57vs Predicted
-
9California State University Channel Islands0.42-0.70vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University0.44-1.70vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-0.25-0.53vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-1.71+2.13vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-0.43-2.05vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-0.90-1.75vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-6.55vs Predicted
-
16University of Texas-0.86-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.14University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
-
2.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
-
5.2University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
-
9.61University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
-
8.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
-
8.88University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
-
8.4University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
-
4.43California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
-
8.3California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
-
8.3Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
-
10.47University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.0%1st Place
-
14.13University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
-
10.95University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
12.25Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
8.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
-
12.33University of Texas-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 24.9% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 27.1% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| George Soliman | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Arin Bekem | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Linnea Jackson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 49.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 6.9% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 15.6% |
| Max Case | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Fenner | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.