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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.28vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+2.71vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.03vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.42+4.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.27+4.14vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.43+2.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.25+3.85vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.48-2.67vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.90+3.55vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-0.97vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-2.33vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.66-4.09vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.43-1.73vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.44-5.54vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.71-0.65vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.06-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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4.71California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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3.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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8.81California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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12.55Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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8.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.46Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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14.35University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Texas0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 22.3% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 26.9% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Arin Bekem | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Miller | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Linnea Jackson | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 22.8% | 18.9% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Max Case | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Will Cornell | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 8.3% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 57.3% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.