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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+3.65vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+6.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.43+3.68vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.48-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.25+3.87vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.43+2.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.66-2.05vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.44-2.47vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.42-3.32vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.90-0.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine0.27-4.98vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.71-0.61vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.06-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.0%1st Place
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3.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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8.68University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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10.87University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.0%1st Place
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8.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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8.53Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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8.68California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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12.61Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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14.39University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Texas0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 25.2% | 20.1% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 25.1% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 6.8% |
| Max Case | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 8.3% |
| Will Cornell | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 24.0% | 18.5% |
| Arin Bekem | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 56.3% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.