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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.43+6.62vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.44+5.67vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.48+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-1.93vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+1.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.43+3.27vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.42-0.32vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.27-0.70vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.90+1.54vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.25-1.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.66-5.12vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-5.35vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.71-0.64vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.06-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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8.62University of Washington0.430.0%1st Place
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8.67Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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3.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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4.8California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.68California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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12.54Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.84University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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8.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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14.36University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Texas0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 25.5% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 26.9% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.0% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 8.4% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Arin Bekem | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 23.7% | 18.8% |
| Linnea Jackson | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 6.3% |
| Will Cornell | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Max Case | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 15.3% | 56.6% |
| Caroline DuBois-Weber | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.