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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.36+2.25vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+0.72vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.36+0.25vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64-2.23vs Predicted
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5American University-0.13-1.23vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.23-2.01vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-1.75-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.1%1st Place
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2.72Drexel University0.720.2%1st Place
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3.25Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.1%1st Place
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1.77Drexel University1.640.5%1st Place
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3.77American University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.99Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.5Ocean County College-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Handel | 12.0% | 20.6% | 22.9% | 23.7% | 16.7% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 20.5% | 28.3% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 9.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Handel | 12.0% | 20.6% | 22.9% | 23.7% | 16.7% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 51.6% | 27.5% | 14.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noel Klingler | 8.5% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 23.3% | 28.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 6.2% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 29.9% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily McCarthy | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 14.1% | 73.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.