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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.16+3.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.57+4.59vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+5.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+2.85vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.47-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.28-3.31vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.48+2.82vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.62+2.11vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-4.64vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.66+0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.28-3.62vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.75-1.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.14-1.36vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.84-3.28vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-2.57vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.62-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.160.1%1st Place
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6.59University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
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8.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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9.82University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.11Northwestern University-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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10.56Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.72California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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14.79University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Yoslov | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 13.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 32.4% | 23.2% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Owen Lubben | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Clay Myers | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 3.7% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 8.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 3.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 12.7% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.