← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.28+1.61vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley-1.14+9.60vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Davis0.57+3.66vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.43vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.52vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.16-0.94vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-0.23vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California1.47-3.81vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington-0.48+0.74vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+2.40vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University-0.75-0.51vs Predicted
-
12California State University Channel Islands-0.84-1.12vs Predicted
-
13University of Texas0.28-5.60vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-0.66-3.74vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-2.62-0.23vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University-0.62-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.61University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
-
11.6University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
-
6.66University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
-
4.43California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
-
8.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
5.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.160.1%1st Place
-
6.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
-
4.19University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
-
9.74University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
-
10.49Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
10.88California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
-
7.4University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
-
10.26University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
-
14.77University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
-
10.24Northwestern University-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 33.8% | 24.6% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 8.4% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 11.5% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 15.6% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 23.5% | 11.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 3.8% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 65.4% |
| Owen Lubben | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.