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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.57+5.49vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.47+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28-0.32vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.16+1.08vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-0.63vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.62+4.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-1.14+3.59vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.56vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.75+0.63vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.28-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.48-2.23vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.66-2.70vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.84-3.26vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-2.57vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.62-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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2.68University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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5.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.160.1%1st Place
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4.37California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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10.23Northwestern University-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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11.59University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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8.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.63Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.74California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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14.8University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Wondolleck | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 14.7% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 32.7% | 22.3% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 13.4% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lubben | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 7.7% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 3.3% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 22.9% | 12.5% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.