← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Davis0.57+5.26vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.53+1.83vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.16+1.73vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+4.41vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.47-0.97vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas0.28+1.27vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley-1.14+4.64vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-3.99vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University-0.62+0.96vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington-0.48-0.37vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-2.62vs Predicted
-
12California State University Channel Islands-0.84-1.36vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-0.75-2.60vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-0.66-3.94vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-2.64vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-2.36-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.26University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
-
3.83University of Hawaii1.530.2%1st Place
-
4.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.160.1%1st Place
-
8.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
4.03University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
-
7.27University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
-
11.64University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
-
4.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.2%1st Place
-
9.96Northwestern University-0.620.0%1st Place
-
9.63University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
-
8.38University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.0%1st Place
-
10.64California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
-
10.4Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
10.06University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
-
12.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
-
14.38University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Wondolleck | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 19.9% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 13.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Luke Harris | 15.9% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 10.5% |
| Clay Myers | 17.6% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lubben | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Summer Drake | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 5.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 15.1% |
| Grace Richie | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.