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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College-0.78+3.79vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+0.85vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.64-1.18vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.23+0.11vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.36-1.55vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.36-2.55vs Predicted
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7American University-0.13-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Ocean County College-0.780.0%1st Place
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2.85Drexel University0.720.2%1st Place
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1.82Drexel University1.640.5%1st Place
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4.11Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.45Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.1%1st Place
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3.45Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.1%1st Place
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3.98American University-0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geneva O'Brien | 3.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 22.3% | 44.8% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 19.2% | 26.5% | 22.8% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 50.2% | 28.1% | 14.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 8.0% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 26.3% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| John Handel | 12.3% | 16.1% | 23.2% | 21.2% | 16.8% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| John Handel | 12.3% | 16.1% | 23.2% | 21.2% | 16.8% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Noel Klingler | 7.0% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 22.5% | 22.9% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.