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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.53+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.47+1.97vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.57+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.16-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.14+5.62vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+0.36vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.62+0.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+2.32vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.48-1.43vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.84-1.30vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.75-2.62vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.66-3.92vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.36-0.57vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.28-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Hawaii1.530.2%1st Place
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3.97University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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4.06California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.2%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Santa Barbara1.160.1%1st Place
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11.62University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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8.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.97Northwestern University-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.7California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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10.38Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.43University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Summers | 20.1% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 18.5% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 17.5% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 10.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Summer Drake | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Owen Lubben | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 22.0% | 12.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 5.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Grace Richie | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 56.7% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.