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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+6.40vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-1.14+8.55vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.470.00vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.34vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.53-2.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.57-0.58vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.62+1.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.66+1.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+2.32vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.48-1.43vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.84-1.26vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.75-2.62vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.36+0.34vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.16-10.21vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.28-8.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.2%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.55University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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8.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.85University of Hawaii1.530.2%1st Place
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6.42University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
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9.92Northwestern University-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.12University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.74California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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10.38Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.34University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.160.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Texas0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 18.3% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 10.0% |
| Luke Harris | 16.9% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Trey Summers | 19.2% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lubben | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 22.2% | 13.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Grace Richie | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 54.1% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 14.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.