← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+3.95vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.21+0.31vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy0.74-0.03vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-0.72vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-1.73+2.17vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33-1.35vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+1.01vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-1.16-1.81vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine-1.53-2.10vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands-2.60-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
-
2.31California Poly Maritime Academy1.210.4%1st Place
-
2.97California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.2%1st Place
-
3.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
-
7.17University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
-
4.65California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
-
8.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
-
6.19Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
6.9University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
-
8.57California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Kasper | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 35.3% | 28.0% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 21.6% | 22.8% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 16.8% | 21.1% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 21.7% | 13.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 24.9% | 26.1% |
| Andrew Down | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Brayden Money | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 9.7% |
| Liam Moran | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.