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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+2.25vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+0.92vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-1.16+3.24vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+0.99vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.21-2.72vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33-1.32vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+1.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.53-1.16vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.60-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.73-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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2.92California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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6.24Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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4.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
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2.28California Poly Maritime Academy1.210.4%1st Place
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4.68California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
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8.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.58California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 19.9% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 21.8% | 23.9% | 22.4% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Lucas Kasper | 5.3% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 37.1% | 27.0% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 18.6% | 24.8% | 26.1% |
| Brayden Money | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 8.3% |
| Liam Moran | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 46.2% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.