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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-1.16+5.16vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.21+0.27vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.35vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33+0.69vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.74-2.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.73+1.23vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49-1.96vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.53-2.11vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-2.60-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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2.27California Poly Maritime Academy1.210.4%1st Place
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3.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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4.69California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
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2.87California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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5.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.6California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Down | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 38.8% | 24.2% | 19.1% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 16.4% | 19.1% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kole Kammerer | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ben Louttit | 22.9% | 25.5% | 20.8% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 20.1% | 14.2% |
| Lucas Kasper | 4.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 26.8% | 24.3% |
| Brayden Money | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 16.3% | 9.1% |
| Liam Moran | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 21.9% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.