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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-1.73+5.25vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+2.01vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.21-1.71vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.74-2.10vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33-1.32vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.16-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.53-1.11vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-1.06vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-2.60-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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5.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
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2.29California Poly Maritime Academy1.210.3%1st Place
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2.9California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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4.68California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
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6.19Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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7.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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8.59California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 18.1% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 14.4% |
| Lucas Kasper | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 20.9% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 34.9% | 28.3% | 19.6% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 22.5% | 23.6% | 22.5% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Down | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
| Brayden Money | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 10.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 26.2% | 24.9% |
| Liam Moran | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.