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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+1.93vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.21+0.28vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-1.16+3.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-1.73+3.23vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49-0.12vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-2.60+2.53vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+0.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.53-1.15vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33-4.29vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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2.28California Poly Maritime Academy1.210.4%1st Place
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6.29Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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4.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
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8.53California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
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7.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.71California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Louttit | 23.8% | 23.9% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 37.3% | 25.0% | 18.8% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 11.6% | 4.4% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 12.5% |
| Lucas Kasper | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Liam Moran | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 19.4% | 46.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 24.5% | 25.9% |
| Brayden Money | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 9.4% |
| Kole Kammerer | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Kisling | 17.2% | 19.1% | 22.7% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.