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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.56vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+0.88vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.24vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.16+2.23vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33-0.41vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+1.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.53-0.05vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49-3.08vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.60-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.73-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.3%1st Place
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2.88California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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3.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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6.23Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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4.59California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
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7.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
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8.58California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 32.3% | 24.4% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 24.4% | 23.3% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 18.7% | 19.0% | 22.1% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 4.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 23.0% | 26.2% |
| Brayden Money | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 16.4% | 9.5% |
| Lucas Kasper | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Liam Moran | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 46.1% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.