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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.40+1.48vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.09+1.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.37+0.62vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.20-1.17vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.52-1.24vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-1.45-0.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.94-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Webb Institute0.4031.1%1st Place
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3.12Columbia University0.0918.6%1st Place
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3.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.3711.9%1st Place
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2.83SUNY Maritime College0.2023.2%1st Place
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3.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.5212.7%1st Place
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5.79Hamilton College-1.451.4%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Military Academy-2.941.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Woods | 31.1% | 24.6% | 21.3% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 18.6% | 19.9% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 14.9% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| Carson Totino | 11.9% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 23.3% | 9.8% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Embry | 23.2% | 23.2% | 20.9% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Ella Musso | 12.7% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 25.6% | 11.6% | 2.2% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 46.3% | 29.9% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 21.7% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.