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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+9.89vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+3.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+6.37vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+5.30vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.30-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+4.77vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.71vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.09+0.37vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-1.00vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.02-1.68vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.66+2.73vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.04vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.81-3.08vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.51-2.44vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-1.96vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.10-5.49vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.22-4.47vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.77-9.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.89Harvard University2.103.4%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.7113.5%1st Place
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9.37Roger Williams University1.974.8%1st Place
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9.3Brown University1.994.4%1st Place
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4.08Stanford University3.3020.4%1st Place
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10.77University of South Florida1.602.8%1st Place
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7.71Cornell University2.387.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston College2.095.9%1st Place
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8.0Georgetown University2.206.2%1st Place
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8.32Tulane University2.025.1%1st Place
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13.73Tufts University0.662.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.9%1st Place
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9.92College of Charleston1.814.0%1st Place
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11.56Bowdoin College1.512.6%1st Place
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13.04George Washington University0.932.0%1st Place
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10.51Dartmouth College2.102.9%1st Place
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12.53Northeastern University1.222.4%1st Place
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8.34University of Pennsylvania1.775.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.5% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.4% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Bridget Green | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 26.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 18.8% |
| Sarah Young | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.