Race 8A

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Michael Hession 10.1% 13.4% 12.3% 13.8% 14.1% 13.4% 10.7% 8.2% 4.0%
Eric Decesar 9.0% 10.9% 14.6% 16.4% 14.3% 12.1% 9.8% 9.0% 3.9%
Quentin Chafee 12.4% 13.1% 13.8% 13.0% 14.2% 13.3% 10.8% 7.0% 2.4%
Tommy Fink 39.9% 27.6% 15.2% 8.8% 5.4% 1.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
William Cotta 7.2% 9.0% 12.6% 11.9% 11.5% 11.8% 12.8% 12.3% 10.9%
Michael Reney 4.6% 5.2% 7.6% 7.9% 9.4% 11.1% 14.1% 20.2% 19.9%
Peter Hughes 7.0% 9.2% 11.1% 12.6% 12.1% 16.9% 12.8% 11.4% 6.9%
Viktor Bolmgren 6.7% 7.9% 8.8% 10.5% 12.4% 11.7% 14.7% 15.0% 12.3%
Dylan Griffin 3.1% 3.7% 4.0% 5.1% 6.6% 8.3% 13.0% 16.5% 39.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.