← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Drexel University0.72+1.92vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology0.36+1.30vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University1.64-1.19vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology0.36-0.70vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University-0.23-0.91vs Predicted
-
6American University-0.13-1.93vs Predicted
-
7Ocean County College-0.78-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92Drexel University0.720.2%1st Place
-
3.3Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.1%1st Place
-
1.81Drexel University1.640.5%1st Place
-
3.3Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.1%1st Place
-
4.09Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
-
4.07American University-0.130.1%1st Place
-
4.82Ocean County College-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Sinclair | 17.1% | 26.3% | 23.2% | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| John Handel | 12.9% | 21.7% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 52.0% | 24.5% | 16.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Handel | 12.9% | 21.7% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 8.3% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 26.7% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Noel Klingler | 6.7% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 22.0% | 22.9% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Geneva O'Brien | 3.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 21.4% | 45.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.