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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.58vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+2.96vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.74-0.12vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-0.77vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33-0.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.73+1.15vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.16-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.53-1.16vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.60-0.40vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.3%1st Place
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4.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
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2.88California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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3.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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4.62California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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6.21Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.6California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
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7.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 31.1% | 26.4% | 17.7% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 7.8% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 23.9% | 23.6% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 17.3% | 21.8% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 13.2% |
| Andrew Down | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 3.4% |
| Brayden Money | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 9.5% |
| Liam Moran | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 21.4% | 46.5% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 25.2% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.