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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+1.84vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+0.57vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.27vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+0.92vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.16+1.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.53+0.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.73+0.27vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33-3.34vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.60-0.41vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.3%1st Place
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2.57California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.3%1st Place
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3.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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4.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
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6.15Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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4.66California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
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8.59California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
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7.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Louttit | 26.8% | 22.1% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Downey | 30.7% | 25.1% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 18.5% | 19.4% | 20.7% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 5.5% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Down | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Brayden Money | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 8.5% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 14.7% |
| Kole Kammerer | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Liam Moran | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 20.8% | 46.3% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 26.3% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.