← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+1.87vs Predicted
-
2Arizona State University-1.16+4.20vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33+1.69vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+0.95vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-1.73+2.10vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-2.78vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-4.42vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-1.53-1.14vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-1.08vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands-2.60-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.87California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.3%1st Place
-
6.2Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
4.69California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
-
4.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
-
7.1University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
-
3.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
-
2.58California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.3%1st Place
-
6.86University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
-
7.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
-
8.6California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Louttit | 25.5% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 4.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Kasper | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 22.2% | 19.3% | 12.4% |
| Jack Kisling | 19.9% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 28.6% | 25.4% | 21.8% | 13.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 10.5% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 24.6% | 25.5% |
| Liam Moran | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.