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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+1.84vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-1.16+4.20vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.26vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.49+0.93vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-2.46vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-2.60+2.52vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy-0.33-2.30vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-1.73-0.82vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.53-2.12vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.3%1st Place
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6.2Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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3.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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4.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.490.1%1st Place
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2.54California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.3%1st Place
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8.52California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
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4.7California Poly Maritime Academy-0.330.1%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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7.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Louttit | 27.6% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 4.6% |
| Jack Kisling | 18.5% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kasper | 5.8% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Downey | 30.3% | 28.5% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Moran | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 46.5% |
| Kole Kammerer | 6.4% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 13.7% |
| Brayden Money | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 25.5% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.