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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.48vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.45vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-1.53+2.85vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-1.02vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-1.86+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.55-1.97vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-1.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.52-2.17vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-3.61-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.3%1st Place
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3.45California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.2%1st Place
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5.85Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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2.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
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6.23California Poly Maritime Academy-1.860.0%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Berkeley-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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8.41California State University Channel Islands-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 33.1% | 25.8% | 18.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 15.7% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sean Kenealy | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 21.3% | 20.3% | 4.7% |
| Jack Phibbs | 22.6% | 22.5% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Blake Doscher | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 26.9% | 8.7% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 11.1% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 4.2% |
| Emma Feasey | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 5.1% |
| Chase Shockley | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.