← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.49vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.44vs Predicted
-
3Arizona State University-1.53+2.82vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley-0.550.00vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-1.98vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine-1.52-0.26vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-1.29vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy-1.86-1.64vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands-3.61-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.49California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.3%1st Place
-
3.44California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
-
5.82Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
4.0University of California at Berkeley-0.550.1%1st Place
-
3.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
-
5.74University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
-
5.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
-
6.36California Poly Maritime Academy-1.860.0%1st Place
-
8.42California State University Channel Islands-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 32.5% | 24.7% | 20.7% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 13.9% | 20.4% | 21.3% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 20.4% | 4.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 12.0% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Jack Phibbs | 24.1% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Feasey | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 17.9% | 3.6% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 4.5% |
| Blake Doscher | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 27.7% | 9.6% |
| Chase Shockley | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.