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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+2.32vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+0.57vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-1.53+2.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.55+0.02vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-1.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.52-0.25vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-1.86-1.63vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-3.61-0.60vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.2%1st Place
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2.57California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.3%1st Place
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5.86Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.02University of California at Berkeley-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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6.37California Poly Maritime Academy-1.860.0%1st Place
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8.4California State University Channel Islands-3.610.0%1st Place
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5.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Jennings | 19.0% | 17.7% | 21.7% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 29.3% | 26.5% | 19.8% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 20.9% | 5.3% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 11.2% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Phibbs | 23.6% | 22.4% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 4.4% |
| Blake Doscher | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 21.1% | 27.9% | 8.8% |
| Chase Shockley | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 10.5% | 76.3% |
| Nathan Briar | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.