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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.48vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.55+1.13vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-1.04vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.53+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.52-0.23vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-1.28vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-1.86-1.64vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-3.61-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.3%1st Place
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3.47California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.2%1st Place
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4.13University of California at Berkeley-0.550.1%1st Place
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2.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
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5.68Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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5.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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6.36California Poly Maritime Academy-1.860.0%1st Place
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8.42California State University Channel Islands-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 33.0% | 25.8% | 18.7% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 15.1% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Jack Phibbs | 22.9% | 22.4% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 5.6% |
| Emma Feasey | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 22.2% | 19.3% | 3.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 4.3% |
| Blake Doscher | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 28.1% | 9.4% |
| Chase Shockley | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 10.3% | 76.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.