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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.48vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.44vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+0.07vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.53+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.55-0.96vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-1.86+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.52-1.18vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-2.31vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-3.61-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.3%1st Place
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3.44California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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3.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
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5.71Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.04University of California at Berkeley-0.550.1%1st Place
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6.35California Poly Maritime Academy-1.860.0%1st Place
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5.82University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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5.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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8.4California State University Channel Islands-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 32.7% | 24.5% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 14.2% | 20.7% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Phibbs | 22.9% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 4.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 12.1% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Blake Doscher | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 19.2% | 28.9% | 8.1% |
| Emma Feasey | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 23.4% | 17.7% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 4.8% |
| Chase Shockley | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.