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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-2.97+5.55vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-1.53+2.29vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-1.28vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-2.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.52-0.77vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-1.86vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-3.61-0.91vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy-1.86-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.4%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
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5.29Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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2.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
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2.93California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.2%1st Place
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5.23University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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5.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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8.09California State University Channel Islands-3.610.0%1st Place
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5.79California Poly Maritime Academy-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 35.7% | 28.5% | 18.3% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 36.5% | 30.7% |
| Sean Kenealy | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 10.7% | 1.8% |
| Jack Phibbs | 22.9% | 26.0% | 24.7% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 22.4% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 21.6% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 21.0% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Chase Shockley | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 20.9% | 59.2% |
| Blake Doscher | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 23.5% | 14.3% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.