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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.36+2.24vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+0.71vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.64-1.23vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.36-0.76vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.23-1.10vs Predicted
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6American University-0.13-2.12vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-1.75-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.1%1st Place
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2.71Drexel University0.720.2%1st Place
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1.77Drexel University1.640.5%1st Place
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3.24Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.1%1st Place
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3.9Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.88American University-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.5Ocean County College-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Handel | 11.9% | 20.7% | 23.0% | 24.3% | 16.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 20.6% | 28.7% | 21.4% | 18.9% | 9.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 51.6% | 27.6% | 14.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Handel | 11.9% | 20.7% | 23.0% | 24.3% | 16.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 7.9% | 9.0% | 19.1% | 22.4% | 32.1% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Noel Klingler | 6.8% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 23.9% | 27.1% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily McCarthy | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 14.3% | 73.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.