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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.25vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.10vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-0.25vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.53+1.20vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-1.86+0.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.52-1.70vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-2.80vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-3.61-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-2.97-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.4%1st Place
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3.1California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.2%1st Place
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2.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.3%1st Place
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5.2Arizona State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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5.72California Poly Maritime Academy-1.860.0%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Irvine-1.520.1%1st Place
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5.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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8.12California State University Channel Islands-3.610.0%1st Place
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7.37University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 35.8% | 28.4% | 19.5% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 16.8% | 24.4% | 22.5% | 17.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 25.7% | 23.3% | 22.0% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Blake Doscher | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 5.6% |
| Emma Feasey | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Chase Shockley | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 19.7% | 61.0% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 36.3% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.