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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.23vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.12vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-1.53+2.29vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-1.30vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-1.86+0.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.52-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-2.97-0.57vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-3.79vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-3.61-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.4%1st Place
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3.12California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.2%1st Place
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5.29Arizona State University-1.530.1%1st Place
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2.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.3%1st Place
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5.68California Poly Maritime Academy-1.860.0%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Irvine-1.520.1%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
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5.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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8.12California State University Channel Islands-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 37.6% | 27.7% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 17.3% | 22.3% | 22.5% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| Jack Phibbs | 25.1% | 25.0% | 22.6% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Doscher | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 21.7% | 14.1% | 5.3% |
| Emma Feasey | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 18.6% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 37.3% | 27.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
| Chase Shockley | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 21.0% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.