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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.26vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+0.86vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-1.53+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.52+1.18vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-1.86-0.29vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-4.07vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-2.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-2.97-1.60vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-3.61-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.4%1st Place
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2.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
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5.33Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Irvine-1.520.1%1st Place
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5.71California Poly Maritime Academy-1.860.0%1st Place
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2.93California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.2%1st Place
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5.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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7.4University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
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8.13California State University Channel Islands-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 36.1% | 28.4% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 21.8% | 24.4% | 23.3% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 20.5% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
| Emma Feasey | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 8.7% | 1.6% |
| Blake Doscher | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 5.4% |
| Sam Jennings | 21.0% | 22.8% | 23.3% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 36.4% | 28.2% |
| Chase Shockley | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 20.8% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.