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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.99vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+0.36vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-0.26vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-1.86+1.75vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.53-0.82vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-1.80vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.52-2.72vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-3.61-0.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-2.97-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.2%1st Place
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2.36California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.3%1st Place
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2.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.3%1st Place
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5.75California Poly Maritime Academy-1.860.0%1st Place
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5.18Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Irvine-1.520.1%1st Place
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8.11California State University Channel Islands-3.610.0%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Jennings | 21.5% | 21.0% | 22.2% | 17.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 32.6% | 28.9% | 20.3% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 25.2% | 23.8% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Doscher | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 23.1% | 15.2% | 4.2% |
| Sean Kenealy | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 3.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Emma Feasey | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 9.6% | 2.3% |
| Chase Shockley | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 20.0% | 60.5% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 35.8% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.