← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+1.80vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.10vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-0.78vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy-1.86+1.75vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-1.53+0.16vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-1.83vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-1.52-2.73vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-2.97-1.59vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands-3.61-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.2%1st Place
-
3.1California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.2%1st Place
-
2.22California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.4%1st Place
-
5.75California Poly Maritime Academy-1.860.0%1st Place
-
5.16Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
5.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
-
5.27University of California at Irvine-1.520.1%1st Place
-
7.41University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
-
8.12California State University Channel Islands-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Phibbs | 24.0% | 23.0% | 23.9% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 17.6% | 22.8% | 22.0% | 18.9% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 37.9% | 28.2% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Doscher | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 23.0% | 14.6% | 4.3% |
| Sean Kenealy | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
| Emma Feasey | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 14.7% | 35.2% | 29.0% |
| Chase Shockley | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 21.7% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.