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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.84+6.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.90vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+5.24vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+1.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.74+6.57vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.39-2.56vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.09+3.59vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-2.25vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.84+2.20vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.81-1.85vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-3.76vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.92-0.99vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.77-1.54vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.43-8.21vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.57vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.75-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.24Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.57Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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3.44Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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10.59University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.2Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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8.15Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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7.24Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.01Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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11.46University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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13.43University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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8.34Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.1% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 24.9% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 7.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.4% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.6% |
| bella casaretto | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 38.9% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.