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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+3.81vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.55vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+0.24vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+2.98vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.09+4.05vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.75+0.86vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-2.31vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.84+1.73vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.77+0.97vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-3.32vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.73-3.82vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.08-0.24vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.81-6.29vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.74-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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3.24Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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6.98Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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7.86Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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10.97University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.71Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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10.94Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 26.0% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| bella casaretto | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 7.2% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 14.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 44.4% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.