Race 6A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Brooke Schmelz 8.3% 6.6% 9.5% 8.7% 8.7% 8.5% 8.7% 8.3% 8.0% 7.9% 6.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.6% 0.8%
bella casaretto 8.8% 12.5% 9.8% 11.0% 10.7% 9.3% 8.4% 7.6% 6.8% 6.3% 4.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Vanessa Lahrkamp 26.5% 19.3% 16.9% 12.1% 8.8% 6.7% 3.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Costikyan 4.5% 5.2% 5.5% 6.0% 7.1% 7.5% 7.7% 9.1% 8.5% 10.1% 8.6% 7.4% 7.1% 4.1% 1.6%
Cordelia Burn 10.1% 10.6% 8.9% 10.2% 10.0% 10.5% 10.0% 8.8% 6.1% 4.9% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Heidi Hicks 1.5% 2.3% 2.5% 2.4% 3.4% 3.0% 3.9% 3.1% 6.4% 5.4% 8.6% 11.6% 15.8% 16.1% 14.0%
Eva Ermlich 6.7% 6.0% 7.3% 7.7% 9.6% 8.8% 8.6% 7.8% 9.1% 8.6% 7.3% 5.8% 3.7% 2.5% 0.5%
Carmen Cowles 13.2% 13.5% 13.3% 11.4% 10.3% 8.9% 9.3% 6.3% 6.0% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Lauren Ehnot 4.2% 5.0% 6.8% 7.0% 8.1% 8.2% 10.0% 8.2% 9.5% 8.0% 8.3% 7.2% 4.9% 4.2% 0.4%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 3.5% 6.4% 7.2% 9.7% 16.7% 41.9%
Mia Hanes 4.9% 6.2% 5.7% 6.0% 6.4% 8.3% 7.3% 8.3% 7.7% 9.8% 7.0% 8.9% 7.2% 4.7% 1.6%
Katherine McGagh 2.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.7% 2.6% 3.2% 5.2% 6.7% 7.3% 7.6% 11.8% 14.0% 16.7% 16.0%
Vivian Bonsager 1.6% 2.9% 2.5% 4.2% 3.4% 4.7% 5.2% 6.3% 5.5% 7.8% 9.3% 10.8% 13.2% 13.6% 9.0%
Maisie MacGillivray 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 3.4% 4.0% 6.3% 6.0% 6.8% 9.5% 11.8% 12.7% 15.0% 12.9%
Kytalin Hendrickson 5.6% 6.0% 5.9% 7.7% 6.1% 8.2% 8.3% 8.9% 8.6% 9.0% 9.1% 6.6% 5.5% 3.5% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.