Race 9A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brooke Schmelz 6.8% 7.9% 11.3% 8.2% 8.9% 9.9% 11.1% 9.1% 8.8% 6.1% 5.3% 3.5% 2.4% 0.7%
Mia Hanes 5.0% 6.4% 7.6% 6.0% 8.8% 8.4% 7.9% 10.0% 9.8% 8.8% 10.0% 5.6% 4.4% 1.3%
Vanessa Lahrkamp 28.7% 21.0% 14.3% 13.6% 8.4% 6.6% 3.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carmen Cowles 13.6% 14.0% 13.3% 12.9% 11.7% 9.2% 7.7% 7.0% 4.4% 3.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Eva Ermlich 5.3% 7.0% 7.4% 8.7% 10.2% 9.5% 9.6% 8.6% 9.5% 9.1% 7.1% 3.9% 3.3% 0.8%
Kytalin Hendrickson 5.8% 5.1% 6.0% 7.5% 8.1% 8.7% 8.7% 9.6% 10.2% 9.5% 8.2% 7.2% 4.1% 1.3%
Lauren Ehnot 5.6% 7.2% 7.7% 7.5% 6.5% 8.6% 9.1% 10.2% 10.6% 9.4% 7.2% 5.9% 3.6% 0.9%
bella casaretto 10.1% 11.4% 11.6% 11.6% 8.6% 8.6% 10.3% 8.1% 7.2% 5.8% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Cordelia Burn 10.5% 10.5% 9.7% 11.6% 11.1% 10.6% 9.6% 9.5% 6.3% 5.2% 2.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Katherine McGagh 1.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 3.7% 5.2% 4.8% 7.2% 7.9% 10.4% 15.6% 17.2% 17.3%
Vivian Bonsager 2.2% 3.2% 3.0% 2.8% 5.7% 5.4% 5.3% 6.7% 7.0% 10.7% 13.2% 13.4% 13.0% 8.4%
Maisie MacGillivray 1.5% 2.3% 2.3% 3.2% 3.4% 4.3% 5.6% 4.7% 7.7% 8.6% 12.8% 13.9% 15.0% 14.7%
Heidi Hicks 2.1% 1.5% 2.8% 2.9% 3.6% 4.2% 4.0% 6.1% 6.4% 8.7% 10.8% 16.0% 16.5% 14.4%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 2.4% 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 4.0% 6.4% 7.1% 9.7% 18.6% 39.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.