Race 10A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Vanessa Lahrkamp 26.8% 22.0% 16.0% 11.5% 6.9% 7.5% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Eva Ermlich 6.9% 9.0% 8.9% 7.8% 8.6% 10.6% 7.4% 10.0% 9.9% 9.4% 5.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 4.9% 5.0% 5.9% 10.2% 17.1% 42.4%
bella casaretto 8.1% 12.9% 10.0% 11.8% 10.8% 9.6% 9.8% 8.7% 6.5% 5.8% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Lauren Ehnot 4.4% 5.2% 6.5% 7.3% 9.4% 8.0% 9.6% 7.5% 10.7% 8.4% 9.8% 7.0% 4.4% 1.8%
Carmen Cowles 14.2% 10.7% 14.8% 13.7% 11.4% 8.5% 8.7% 5.9% 5.1% 3.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Brooke Schmelz 8.5% 8.6% 9.1% 9.6% 9.6% 8.9% 8.7% 10.9% 8.7% 7.4% 4.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Kytalin Hendrickson 5.9% 6.9% 7.1% 8.1% 6.2% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 9.4% 7.1% 9.9% 7.5% 4.0% 1.1%
Cordelia Burn 10.0% 9.7% 11.3% 10.4% 13.1% 10.1% 8.4% 10.0% 7.2% 4.1% 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.4% 1.8% 2.2% 1.8% 2.9% 4.2% 5.5% 6.2% 7.6% 10.0% 11.1% 12.6% 17.9% 13.8%
Heidi Hicks 1.4% 2.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.2% 4.0% 5.6% 5.2% 5.5% 9.1% 11.3% 15.2% 17.4% 15.4%
Mia Hanes 5.0% 4.7% 5.6% 7.1% 8.7% 8.8% 9.4% 9.8% 9.9% 9.5% 8.9% 5.9% 4.3% 2.4%
Katherine McGagh 2.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.0% 2.7% 3.5% 4.4% 5.1% 6.1% 9.3% 11.4% 15.4% 17.5% 14.7%
Vivian Bonsager 2.6% 3.4% 2.8% 3.4% 4.7% 6.1% 6.6% 5.7% 7.5% 10.6% 13.3% 14.1% 12.2% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.