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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+5.07vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+2.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+5.01vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+0.76vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16+6.24vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.60+3.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.81vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.76-3.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.31vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine2.22-0.17vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.79-3.06vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii3.36-6.13vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.09vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota1.75-2.62vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.32-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.29Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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12.24Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.53Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.19University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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6.25Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.83University of California at Irvine2.220.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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10.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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13.38University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 20.0% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryann Hall | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 11.3% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Ashley Hobson | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 9.4% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Keely Scates | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Allison Prange | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 21.3% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.